Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.925380 5.658155 6.427314 7.291635 8.232619 9.222927 10.340795
2024-12-15 4.111521 5.183110 6.376271 7.789633 9.404537 11.179186 13.263673
2024-12-22 3.335677 4.598778 6.085062 7.930429 10.127822 12.629974 15.663343
2024-12-29 2.890647 4.315829 6.075131 8.346546 11.142233 14.414766 18.477996
2025-01-05 2.506156 4.038782 6.017429 8.663597 12.016016 16.033557 21.122100
2025-01-12 2.135080 3.717244 5.852282 8.805092 12.647537 17.351418 23.415684
2025-01-19 1.764910 3.337109 5.558771 8.736867 12.982259 18.286469 25.239599
2025-01-26 1.530312 3.117907 5.454490 8.894734 13.591703 19.558689 27.486249
2025-02-02 1.329148 2.917873 5.350838 9.032108 14.160765 20.775767 29.670896
2025-02-09 1.084969 2.606499 5.048032 8.859004 14.289272 21.410692 31.112542
2025-02-16 0.881164 2.327839 4.762963 8.682679 14.390662 21.995308 32.482874
2025-02-23 0.745356 2.149029 4.615006 8.691543 14.738250 22.900875 34.271973
2025-03-02 0.608815 1.945479 4.411131 8.608865 14.960651 23.656222 35.899185
2025-03-09 0.555722 1.907330 4.484081 8.956582 15.811664 25.280466 38.701851
2025-03-16 0.468588 1.774630 4.376996 9.009466 16.227963 26.312594 40.728308
2025-03-23 0.435537 1.762939 4.485915 9.412340 17.169512 28.084032 43.768329
2025-03-30 0.396007 1.726607 4.544220 9.731138 17.989216 29.695510 46.610143
2025-04-06 0.342604 1.640769 4.499116 9.871903 18.538602 30.932205 48.954949
2025-04-13 0.276706 1.500077 4.331171 9.792071 18.742570 31.677899 50.633109
2025-04-20 0.240224 1.435935 4.309674 9.959800 19.328604 32.971877 53.074399
2025-04-27 0.206949 1.371163 4.279236 10.106789 19.880724 34.219914 55.460377
2025-05-04 0.157802 1.229973 4.068869 9.919045 19.893985 34.684017 56.758175
2025-05-11 0.117747 1.099938 3.865252 9.728103 19.890352 35.116354 58.009402